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Correspondent

21 August 2024 at 10:20:16 am

Crude Reality

Since the Iran crisis erupted five months ago and sent tremors through global energy markets, India’s motorists have been spared the full force of the oil shock. Despite a hike, petrol pumps have generally continued to display familiar prices even as crude surged, because state-owned oil companies quietly absorbed the damage. However, with losses now piling up at Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL), it appears that the bill, which had been...

Crude Reality

Since the Iran crisis erupted five months ago and sent tremors through global energy markets, India’s motorists have been spared the full force of the oil shock. Despite a hike, petrol pumps have generally continued to display familiar prices even as crude surged, because state-owned oil companies quietly absorbed the damage. However, with losses now piling up at Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL), it appears that the bill, which had been deferred all this while, cannot be avoided. Unless global crude prices retreat sharply, Indian consumers may soon feel the full force of the unabating West Asian crisis. HPCL plunged into a consolidated loss of Rs. 12,265 crore in the June quarter, while BPCL reported a loss of Rs. 3,962 crore - the first quarterly loss for the latter in 15 quarters. The crisis has exposed that India’s fuel-price stability remains heavily dependent on the financial health of state-run oil companies. When global markets turn hostile, these companies are expected to sacrifice margins, protect consumers and absorb geopolitical shocks. This model becomes increasingly fragile when crises become prolonged. Crude oil prices briefly approached $125 a barrel during the height of the West Asia conflict, rising more than 50 percent as fears grew over supply disruptions. Though petrol and diesel prices were eventually raised by more than Rs 7.50 per litre and domestic LPG prices by Rs. 89 per cylinder, the adjustments came too late and were insufficient. Government estimates suggest oil marketing companies have accumulated under-recoveries of around Rs. 75,000 crore during the Iran crisis. HPCL’s refining business in fact had delivered an impressive gross refining margin of $23.80 per barrel in the first quarter, compared with just $3.08 a year earlier. Yet those gains were wiped out by losses in fuel marketing. BPCL faced a similar squeeze. Higher revenues of Rs. 1.59 lakh crore during the quarter could not compensate for suppressed margins and LPG losses. This is the familiar political dilemma of fuel pricing. Governments fear the inflationary consequences of raising prices sharply, especially in an economy where transport costs influence everything from food prices to manufacturing expenses. But delaying adjustments merely shifts it from consumers to public-sector balance sheets. The consequences are already visible. HPCL reported LPG under-recoveries of Rs. 3,607 crore, while BPCL recorded losses of Rs. 3,485 crore on LPG sales. Both companies also face thousands of crores in unpaid subsidy dues. If global crude prices remain elevated, the pressure valve will eventually have to open. Either the government compensates oil companies through larger subsidies by squeezing public finances or consumers face higher fuel prices. India has long benefited from relatively stable domestic fuel prices despite global volatility. But energy markets do not respect political calendars.

Clever seat selection helped BJP to secure historic win

The party won 65 seats against Congress, 37 against NCP (SP) and 29 against Shiv Sena (UBT)

Clever seat selection

Mumbai: The BJP’s strategic seat sharing with the allies has proved beneficial for the party. An analysis of the Assembly election results show that the BJP has scored over its main rival, the Congress, in a big way because of the direct fights.


The analysis shows that BJP defeated all three constituents of the Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA) – Congress, Shiv Sena (UBT) and NCP (SP) – in the direct fights. This is attributed as one of the reasons for the BJP’s historic poll success.


The BJP contested 147 out of 288 seats. In 76 constituencies, it faced Congress. BJP secured victory in 65 seats and lost only 11 seats, making it a whopping 86 per cent of the total direct fights. This was followed by an even stronger performance against NCP (SP). Of the total 39 fights with Sharad Pawar’s party, BJP captured 37 seats making it 95 per cent of the total fights with NCP (SP). BJP and Shiv Sena (UBT) were head-to-head in 32 constituencies, of which BJP emerged victorious in 29 seats, making this 91 per cent of the total direct contests.


According to a BJP strategist the party had bargained hard with its allies, Shiv Sena and NCP to get the desired constituencies in the seat sharing formula. “We had studied to potential candidates of the MVA. That helped us in choosing the seats where we can register comfortable victories,” the strategist said.


BJP spokesperson Niranjan Shetty attributed the success to all the party workers who worked hard to boost development, infrastructure in the state. He gave credit to Deputy Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis for his contribution to the party’s success.


Shetty pointed out that in 2019, Uddhav Thackeray had stalled all the “novel” and “legendary” projects that Fadnavis had started when he had taken over as CM, making it very easy for the people of Maharashtra to strike a comparison between both the leaders and the potential they had for serving the people. “Devendra Fadnavis gave up his post very easily for the larger good. There are many such examples like Venkaiah Naidu who was BJP National President and later worked as the Vice President of India because that was the need of the hour. We seldom care about our posts,” Shetty told The Perfect Voice.


Congress spokesperson Atul Londhe refused to call the election results as the people’s mandate. “This is not at all a Janata mandate. Despite Maharashtra struggling with so many basic social issues, how can BJP acquire such a huge mandate is the question. If a student copies and fails with just passing marks, it can go unnoticed, but if a student copies and bags the number one position, something is fishy. Why is the BJP scared of ballot papers?” he said.

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